US forces 'used chemical weapons' during assault on city of

Quote:
[size=18] US forces 'used chemical weapons' during assault on city of Fallujah[/size]

By Peter Popham
Published: 08 November 2005

Powerful new evidence emerged yesterday that the United States dropped massive quantities of white phosphorus on the Iraqi city of Fallujah during the attack on the city in November 2004, killing insurgents and civilians with the appalling burns that are the signature of this weapon.

Ever since the assault, which went unreported by any Western journalists, rumours have swirled that the Americans used chemical weapons on the city.

On 10 November last year, the Islam Online website wrote: "US troops are reportedly using chemical weapons and poisonous gas in its large-scale offensive on the Iraqi resistance bastion of Fallujah, a grim reminder of Saddam Hussein's alleged gassing of the Kurds in 1988."

The website quoted insurgent sources as saying: "The US occupation troops are gassing resistance fighters and confronting them with internationally banned chemical weapons."

In December the US government formally denied the reports, describing them as "widespread myths". "Some news accounts have claimed that US forces have used 'outlawed' phosphorus shells in Fallujah," the USinfo website said. "Phosphorus shells are not outlawed. US forces have used them very sparingly in Fallujah, for illumination purposes.

"They were fired into the air to illuminate enemy positions at night, not at enemy fighters."

But now new information has surfaced, including hideous photographs and videos and interviews with American soldiers who took part in the Fallujah attack, which provides graphic proof that phosphorus shells were widely deployed in the city as a weapon.

In a documentary to be broadcast by RAI, the Italian state broadcaster, this morning, a former American soldier who fought at Fallujah says: "I heard the order to pay attention because they were going to use white phosphorus on Fallujah. In military jargon it's known as Willy Pete.

"Phosphorus burns bodies, in fact it melts the flesh all the way down to the bone ... I saw the burned bodies of women and children. Phosphorus explodes and forms a cloud. Anyone within a radius of 150 metres is done for."

Photographs on the website of RaiTG24, the broadcaster's 24-hours news channel, , show exactly what the former soldier means. Provided by the Studies Centre of Human Rights in Fallujah, dozens of high-quality, colour close-ups show bodies of Fallujah residents, some still in their beds, whose clothes remain largely intact but whose skin has been dissolved or caramelised or turned the consistency of leather by the shells.

A biologist in Fallujah, Mohamad Tareq, interviewed for the film, says: "A rain of fire fell on the city, the people struck by this multi-coloured substance started to burn, we found people dead with strange wounds, the bodies burned but the clothes intact."

The documentary, entitled Fallujah: the Hidden Massacre, also provides what it claims is clinching evidence that incendiary bombs known as Mark 77, a new, improved form of napalm, was used in the attack on Fallujah, in breach of the UN Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons of 1980, which only allows its use against military targets.

Meanwhile, five US soldiers from the elite 75th Ranger Regiment have been charged with kicking and punching detainees in Iraq.

The news came as a suicide car bomber killed four American soldiers at a checkpoint south of Baghdad yesterday.

[url=

hmmm... nice liberation. Not got WMD? well you won't mind if we use it on you then...

Quote:
[size=18] US 'uses incendiary arms' in Iraq[/size]

Italian state TV, Rai, has broadcast a documentary accusing the US military of using white phosphorus bombs against civilians in the Iraqi city of Falluja.

Rai says this amounts to the illegal use of chemical arms, though the bombs are considered incendiary devices.

Eyewitnesses and ex-US soldiers say the weapon was used in built-up areas in the insurgent-held city.

The US military denies this, but admits using white phosphorus bombs in Iraq to illuminate battlefields.

Washington is not a signatory of an international treaty restricting the use of white phosphorus devices.

Transmission of the documentary comes a day after the arrival of Iraqi President Jalal Talabani on a five-day official visit to Italy.

It also coincides with the first anniversary of the US-led assault on Falluja, which displaced most of the city's 300,000 population and left many of its buildings destroyed.

The documentary was shown on Rai's rolling news channel, with a warning that the some of the footage was disturbing.

The future of the 3,000-strong Italian peacekeeping contingent in Iraq is the subject of a political tug-of-war, says the BBC's David Willey in Rome.

[b]'Destroyed evidence'[/b]

The documentary begins with formerly classified footage of the Americans using napalm bombs during the Vietnam war.

It then shows a series of photographs from Falluja of corpses with the flesh burnt off but clothes still intact - which it says is consistent with the effects of white phosphorus on humans.

Jeff Englehart, described as a former US soldier who served in Falluja, tells of how he heard orders for white phosphorus to be deployed over military radio - and saw the results.

"Burned bodies, burned women, burned children; white phosphorus kills indiscriminately... When it makes contact with skin, then it's absolutely irreversible damage, burning flesh to the bone," he says.

Last December, the US state department issued a denial of what it called "widespread myths" about the use of illegal weapons in Falluja.

"Phosphorus shells are not outlawed. US forces have used them very sparingly in Falluja, for illumination purposes. They were fired into the air to illuminate enemy positions at night, not at enemy fighters," the US statement said.

However, the Rai film also alleges that Washington has systematically attempted to destroy filmed evidence of the alleged use of white phosphorus on civilians in Falluja.

Italian public opinion has been consistently against the war and the Rai documentary can only reinforce calls for a pullout of Italian soldiers as soon as possible, our correspondent says.

Both the Italian government and opposition leaders are talking about a phased withdrawal in 2006.

President Talabani and the US say the continued presence of multi-national forces in Iraq is essential.

[url= News[/url]

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

ALLAH forgive us. ameen

The truthful are taken to be liars, and the liars are taken to be truthful. I believe this article, but I can see how hard it is for ANY1 to believe it, the devils machinations around the world have cast a spell over us.

How can any1 believe that a nation which prostitutes women legally, a nation which has biggest crime rate, a nation which breeds paedophiles and sex offenders will come to Lands of Islam and offer us honour and peace and security?

This is nonsense. May ALLAH forgive us for our neglect of the Ummah. ameen

Ya ALLAH Madad.
Haq Chaar Yaar

Its war. War is dirty. Scoundrels are scoundrels.

Saddam used chemical weapons. And the 'liberators' do so too.

What liberation?

Grrrr!

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

[size=18]HYPOCRITICAL!!![/size]

"100" wrote:
I really don't know either way.

We know an Italian documentary is publicising its claims.

[url= and [url= are people who suggest the chemical was not used in the way described by the documentary.


mainstream media vs. bloggers? i know which i'd go with... Fool

[size=9]I NEVER WORE IT BECAUSE OF THE TALIBAN, MOTHER. I LIKE THE [b]MODESTY[/b] AND [b]PROTECTION[/b] IT AFFORDS ME FROM THE EYES OF MEN.[/size] [url=, X-Men[/url]

I wouldn't 'go with' either. Just a couple of sources.

yup. Should look at both sides.

There may be a perfectly logical explanation for those bodies being chemically burnt.

No, there must be another one aswell, not just the explanation that says that chemical weapons were used...

Probably is one... But I would not give it much credibility.

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

MAYBE the Alqa eedas did it themselves!?

Damn those AlQa eedas.

Ya ALLAH Madad.
Haq Chaar Yaar

Med,

Nobody is suggesting that. It's not the first time you've done that. Just what has inspired you to keep implying that al Qaeda is some kind of red herring conspiracy theory? The context I associate it with is when people start fingering Jooos, but what al Qaeda stands for is pretty tangible, and you come across as defending them.

I'll take alqaeeda into a separate topic...

Discuss that there.

[edit]

Topic on Alqaeda:

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

Quote:
[size=18]US used white phosphorus in Iraq[/size]

The Pentagon has confirmed that US troops used white phosphorus during last year's offensive in the Iraqi city of Falluja.

"It was used as an incendiary weapon against enemy combatants," spokesman Lt Col Barry Venable told the BBC - though not against civilians, he said.

The US earlier denied it had been used in Falluja at all.

BBC defence correspondent Paul Wood says having to retract its denial is a public relations disaster for the US.

Col Venable denied that the substance - which can cause burning of the flesh - constituted a banned chemical weapon.

Washington is not a signatory of an international treaty restricting the use of white phosphorus devices.

Col Venable said a statement by the US state department that white phosphorus had not been used was based on "poor information".

[b]'Incendiary'[/b]

The US-led assault on Falluja - a stronghold of the Sunni insurgency west of Baghdad - displaced most of the city's 300,000 population and left many of its buildings destroyed.

Col Venable told the BBC's PM radio programme that the US army used white phosphorus incendiary munitions "primarily as obscurants, for smokescreens or target marking in some cases".

"However it is an incendiary weapon and may be used against enemy combatants."

And he said it had been used in Falluja, but it was "conventional munition", not a chemical weapon.

It is not "outlawed or illegal", Col Venable said.

He said US forces could use white phosphorus rounds to flush enemy troops out of covered positions.

"The combined effects of the fire and smoke - and in some case the terror brought about by the explosion on the ground - will drive them out of the holes so that you can kill them with high explosives," he said.

[b]'Particularly nasty'[/b]

White phosphorus is highly flammable and ignites on contact with oxygen. If the substance hits someone's body, it will burn until deprived of oxygen.

Globalsecurity.org, a defence website, says: "Phosphorus burns on the skin are deep and painful... These weapons are particularly nasty because white phosphorus continues to burn until it disappears... it could burn right down to the bone."

A spokesman at the UK Ministry of Defence said the use of white phosphorus was permitted in battle in cases where there were no civilians near the target area.

But Professor Paul Rodgers of the University of Bradford department of peace studies said white phosphorus could be considered a chemical weapon if deliberately aimed at civilians.

He told PM: "It is not counted under the chemical weapons convention in its normal use but, although it is a matter of legal niceties, it probably does fall into the category of chemical weapons if it is used for this kind of purpose directly against people."

When an Italian TV documentary revealing the use of white phosphorus in Iraq was broadcast on 8 November, it sparked fury among Italian anti-war protesters, who demonstrated outside the US embassy in Rome.

[url= News[/url]

Not got time to comment....

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

Salam

"Admin" wrote:
BBC:

"The US earlier denied it had been used in Falluja at all.

BBC defence correspondent Paul Wood says having to retract its denial is a public relations disaster for the US..."

Nov 08: " No, we never used it."

Nov 15: " Yes, we did use it."

I mean, do they have no shame at the Pentagon ?

This is the kind of scandal that makes the BBC give anti-Americanism an acceptable image.

Omrow

Quote:
[size=18]White phosphorus: weapon on the edge[/size]

The Pentagon's admission - despite earlier denials - that US troops used white phosphorus as a weapon in Falluja last year is more than a public relations issue - it has opened up a debate about the use of this weapon in modern warfare.

The admission contradicted a statement this week from the new and clearly under-briefed US ambassador in London Robert Holmes Tuttle that US forces "do not use napalm or white phosphorus as weapons".

The official line to that point had been that WP, or Willie Pete to use its old name from Vietnam, was used only to illuminate the battlefield and to provide smoke for camouflage.

[b]'Shake 'n Bake'[/b]

This line however crumbled when bloggers (whose influence must not be under-estimated these days) ferreted out an article published by the US Army's Field Artillery Magazine in its issue of March/April this year.

The article, written by a captain, a first lieutenant and a sergeant, was a review of the attack on Falluja in November 2004 and in particular of the use of indirect fire, mainly mortars.

It makes quite clear that WP was used as a weapon not just as illumination or camouflage.

"WP proved to be an effective and versatile munition. We used it for screening missions at two breeches and, later in the fight, as a potent psychological weapon against the insurgents in trench lines and spider holes where we could not get effects on them with HE [High Explosive]. We fired "shake and bake" missions at the insurgents, using WP to flush them out and HE to take them out," the article said.

In another passage the authors noted that they could have used other smoke munitions and "saved our WP for lethal missions".

A word about the term "shake and bake." Anyone with a family to feed in the US knows what this term, properly "Shake 'n Bake, means. Made by Kraft, it is a seasoning which is shaken onto chicken before baking. Its use gives the article the smack of reality. It's the kind of thing US soldiers would say.

[b]Vietnam precedent[/b]

This tactic of forcing opponents out of cover is not new and should not really have come as a surprise. An article looking back at the Vietnam war published in 1996 by a US armoured unit (1st Battalion, 69th Armor) referred to "Willie Pete" weapons and their use in getting North Vietnamese troops to leave their positions:

"Our normal procedure was to fire these things at a hillside as soon as possible in order to get them out of the fighting compartment."

One wonders of course if, in Falluja, WP was used more directly to kill insurgents and not just to flush them out. In battle, soldiers take short cuts and this seems an obvious one.

[b]Embed report[/b]

Evidence that this happened in Falluja comes from an article by a reporter, Darrin Mortenson of the North County Times in California, who was embedded with US marines there.

He wrote about a mortar unit receiving coordinates of a target and opening fire:

"The boom kicked the dust around the pit as they ran through the drill again and again, sending a mixture of burning white phosphorus and high explosives they call 'shake 'n bake' into a cluster of buildings where insurgents have been spotted all week."

The tactic therefore seems to have been not to flush them out first but to bombard them simultaneously with the two types of weapons.

[b]Chemical Weapons Convention[/b]

The debate about WP centres partly though not wholly on whether it is really a chemical weapon. Such weapons are outlawed by the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) to which the United States is a party.

The CWC is monitored by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, based in The Hague. Its spokesman Peter Kaiser was asked if WP was banned by the CWC and he had this to say:

"No it's not forbidden by the CWC if it is used within the context of a military application which does not require or does not intend to use the toxic properties of white phosphorus. White phosphorus is normally used to produce smoke, to camouflage movement.

"If that is the purpose for which the white phosphorus is used, then that is considered under the Convention legitimate use.

"If on the other hand the toxic properties of white phosphorus, the caustic properties, are specifically intended to be used as a weapon, that of course is prohibited, because the way the Convention is structured or the way it is in fact applied, any chemicals used against humans or animals that cause harm or death through the toxic properties of the chemical are considered chemical weapons."

[b]WP - the arguments[/b]

So WP itself is not a chemical weapon and therefore not illegal. However, used in a certain way, it might become one. Not that "a certain way" can easily be defined, if at all.

The US can say therefore that this is not a chemical weapon and further, it argues that it is not the toxic properties but the heat from WP which causes the damage. And, this argument goes, since incendiary weapons are not covered by the CWC, therefore the use of WP against combatants is not prohibited.

Critics claim that the US used chemical weapons in Falluja, on the grounds that it is the toxic properties which cause the harm. The UK's Guardian newspaper for example said: "The US used chemical weapons in Iraq - and then lied about it."

There is an intense debate on the blog sites about this issue. "It's not a chemical weapon" says Liberal Against Terror. "CONFIRMED: WP is a CW if used to cause harm through toxic properties," says Daily Kos.

[b]Tactical use of WP[/b]

The other argument is about the use of WP as a weapon.

The initial denials from the Pentagon suggest a certain hesitation, embarrassment even, about such a tactic. Some decisions must have been taken in the past to limit its use in certain battlefield scenarios (urban warfare for example). It is not used against civilians.

However the United States has not signed up to a convention covering incendiary weapons which seeks to restrict their use.

This convention has the cumbersome title "Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons." Agreed in 1980, its Protocol III covers "Prohibitions or Restrictions on use of Incendiary Weapons."

This prohibits WP or other incendiaries (like flamethrowers) against civilians or civilian objects and its use by air strikes against military targets located in a concentration of civilians. It also limits WP use by other means (such as mortars or direct fire from tanks) against military targets in a civilian area. Such targets have to be separated from civilian concentrations and "all feasible precautions" taken to avoid civilian casualties.

Notwithstanding the US position on the Convention, the use of WP against insurgents within Falluja does at least bring the issue into discussion, though one should note that the soldiers who wrote the Field Artillery article do say that their unit "encountered few civilians in its attack south".

[url= News[/url]

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

Quote:
[size=18]Iraq probes US phosphorus weapons[/size]

An Iraqi human rights team has gone to the city of Falluja to investigate the use of white phosphorus as a weapon by US forces, a minister has told the BBC.

Acting Human Rights Minister Narmin Uthman said her staff would examine the possible effects on civilians.

The US has now admitted using white phosphorus as a weapon in Falluja last year, after earlier denying it.

The substance can cause burning of the flesh but is not illegal and is not classified as a chemical weapon.

The BBC's Caroline Hawley in Baghdad says it will be some time before the human rights team reports back. ...

[url= News[/url]

Too little too late?

its been over a year since the main assault. How much evidence would still be lyign around, and not brried? (I do not think they will dig up the graves... just look at the surviving people that were burnt)

Thos eminds me of that infamous pic of that naked girl runniign down the road in vietnam. some of her skin burnt off.

Very saddening.

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

"Omrow" wrote:
I mean, do they have no shame at the Pentagon ?

No... but they do have a lot of paperwork

Quote:
[size=18]UK used white phosphorus in Iraq[/size]

UK troops have used white phosphorus in Iraq - but only to create smokescreens, Defence Secretary John Reid has said.

MPs are worried by the admission by US forces that they used the controversial substance in the Iraqi city of Falluja - something they had previously denied.

White phosphorus can burn flesh and some MPs say its use will hand a propaganda victory to Iraqi insurgents.

Both the US and UK Governments deny using the weapon against civilians but there are calls for a UN inquiry.

[b]Against civilians?[/b]

White phosphorus is highly flammable and ignites on contact with oxygen. If the substance hits someone's body, it will burn until deprived of oxygen.

The US State Department originally denied it had been used in last year's assault on Falluja, a stronghold for Sunni insurgents west of Baghdad.

But on Tuesday, Pentagon spokesman Lt Col Barry Venable said the substance had been used as an "incendiary weapon against enemy combatants".

Col Venable also said white phosphorus was not a banned chemical weapon.

An Italian documentary team has claimed it was used against civilians - but this is strongly denied by the US.

Critics say Falluja was a "civil society" so civilians could have been affected even if not directly targeted.

[b]Smokescreen[/b]

Downing Street also stressed that insurgents in Falluja had been offered talks before last year's attack on the city.

White phosphorus is part of the arsenal available to British troops - essentially for illumination and smoke.

The defence secretary said he could not answer for the US use of the substance.

But he said: "We do not use white phosphorus, or indeed any other form of munition or weaponry, against civilians...

"We do not use it for anything other than a smokescreen to protect our troops when in action."

But former Defence Minister Doug Henderson said the UK should try to find an alternative.

The substance could burn when it fell from the sky even when it was used to create smoke, he said.

[b]Treaty change?[/b]

Fellow anti-war Labour MP Alan Simpson told BBC News there was hypocrisy over the issue as Tony Blair had sent troops to war over Iraq's alleged chemical weapons.

"What we are forced to address is that in a post-war occupation of Iraq, the coalition forces - British and American - have also used chemical weapons."

Mike Gapes, the Labour chairman of the Commons foreign affairs select committee, said white phosphorus was defined as an "incendiary", not a chemical weapon.

He suggested treaties on chemical weapons should be strengthened so they covered the substance.

Mr Gapes said the way the Americans had mishandled the issue by initially denying using white phosphorus was a "public relations disaster for them".

[b]'Propaganda'[/b]

Liberal Democrat foreign affairs spokesman Sir Menzies Campbell said the denial would convince sceptics there was something to hide.

"A vital part of the effort in Iraq is to win the battle for hearts and minds," said Sir Menzies.

"The use of this weapon may technically have been legal, but its effects are such that it will hand a propaganda victory to the insurgency."

Lib Dem MEPs' leader Graham Watson is calling for a United Nations inquiry into the extent to which white phosphorus has been used.

Conservative shadow foreign secretary Liam Fox said there needed to be more openness from the Pentagon.

But he added: "Although white phosphorus is a brutal weapon, we need to remember that we were talking about some pretty brutal insurgents."

[url= News[/url]

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

So even if saddam did have weapons of mass destruction, we would have been deeply hypocritical.

Yeah. go to remove WMD. But at the same time use chemical weapons ourselves.

This chemical is not illegal in international warfare through a technicality.

and the smokescreen excuse is so lame. 'Lets create a smokescreen through those people there'.

And some embedded kourno's have reported a shake and bake policy used by some troops (admittedly US forces, but the UK wouls have been just as bad)

where were the mainstream press before the bloggers picked up on this?

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

This information regarding chemical weapons was widely known very shortly after the aggression on Fallujah.

For information, chemical weapons were also used against Taliban, I do not have references or sources for this, but I remember distinctly mention being made of this or something similar.

Ya ALLAH Madad.
Haq Chaar Yaar

There is a diference when reporters say somethingmay have happened according to unreliable sources...

...and when they categorically state something did positively absolutely happen.

The second has mpore impact. It has more authority.

The info here is not new. It was reported earlier by smaller soures. However now it has been brought to the public atention by the larger media organisations. Atleast here in the UK.

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

Yes, true @ admin.

But for me the word of the Truthful people, is enough.

Ya ALLAH Madad.
Haq Chaar Yaar

It's coming to an end anyway.

That's the state of the US Congress right now, the Senate is roughly as bad.

I suspect we will pull out, the Iraqi government will have corruption problems and Iraq will either simmer for a while until it implodes in 10 years forcing us into a war, or things will stablize after a decade or two of trouble.

We're definitely out by the next President though.

I saw Tucker Carlosn interviewing some Democrat commentator about this and Murtha. Carlson is a right turd. He was making snide partisan comments al the way through. He's like a wussy version of O'Rielly.

Oh, but more importantly... In his own interviews, Murtha makes serious observations and accuses Repubss and the White House of making personal attacks on him instead of the substance of his argument.

I can't see much wrong with what Murtha says about the situation and the conduct of the Iraq War.

Well the UK is starting to phase a pullout starting in May.

And from what I heard there are some rumours of plans in the US to start before end of 2007 aswell.

I think it was on newsnight last night (18 november).

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

It will be nice to have this war behind us.

The terrorists won't stop though, i'd like to at least have the UN watch over Iraq and play a prominent role in helping the government secure the country as well as keep the government as open and free of corruption as possible.

The United States doesn't have the legitimacy amongst the Iraqis to fulfill these objectives anymore.

Iraq for the near future is beyond hope.

I feel for everyone living there.

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

Not necessarily - there is a government in place with a substantial degree of legitimacy.

There is infrastructure - and Iraqs neighbors all seem to realize that a stable Iraq is good for them as well.

There is also a great deal of nationalism that holds the Iraqis together.

On the other hand terrorism is going to become an important part of the Iraqi experience unfortunately - much like Israel, Iraq will have to deal with terrorism in its daily life for quite some time.

Quote:
'government with a substantial degree of legitimacy'

You serious?

And these guys are using torture even before the foreigners have left.

The Iraqis may have some pride which may ell them, but the current leadership was getting fat in exile before. It is not in touch with the people.

The terrorists are hiding within the community. There is sympathy with them, even if they seem to be almost exclusively killing Iraqi's.

And on the other side, the terrorists ARE the government. there has been a load of abuse catalogued by the relevant agencies. In Baghdad, the police seems to like using drills on people...

If/when the Americans leave, the gov will be overthrown. maybe even immediately. Not by sunnis. they have probably been broken, and will probably be bit players, but by the shias themselves.

They are biding their time.

It will be absolute chaos.

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

I don't see any indication that the government will be overthrown in the near future by any force within Iraq.

I suspect if there is a danger of the government being overthrown it would come from increased pressure to combat terrorism resulting in authoritarian measures - coupled with good old fashioned corruption.

But my comment about legitimacy is that the government came about through free and fair elections and by a substantial turnout.

True the Sunnis didn't come out in the droves we would have hoped the would - but as you say they are broken and do not possess the power to do anything about it.

We are the problem right now, we are sapping legitimacy from the government, and not securing the country.

The UN really needs to get involved - now is the time for them to ask too, Bush isn't in a position to turn down their earlier agreement which called for more UN oversight. The public would ruin him for holding oil contracts above success.

Yes you have some very good points.

However I am far more pessimistic.

Maybe its the way I see things.

The gov has no 'legitimacy' in the sunni eyes. But they are broken.

The shias also have many factions. However they know the Americans must leave. So they are currently united.

Soon the glue will be torn off.

For instance there were rumours a few months ago of Muqtada al Sadr switching alliance from thr Ayatollah to the sunnis over the constitution.

There are a lot of Shia 'leaders' who were fattening themselves previously. They are tolerated because of the greater cause. They will be dealt with later...

Or I may be seeing too much into it.

Besides ven shias do not wanna be ruled from Iran... soe factions ahve their powerbases over the border.

"For too long, we have been a passively tolerant society, saying to our citizens 'as long as you obey the law, we will leave you alone'" - David Cameron, UK Prime Minister. 13 May 2015.

Pages